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icon for Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 27 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 27 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 27 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 27 августа?

26°C 100.0%

22°C or below <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$35,782 Объем

26°C 100.0%

22°C or below <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$35,782 Объем

22°C or below

$204 Объем

No

23°C

$2,565 Объем

No

24°C

$2,140 Объем

No

25°C

$6,298 Объем

No

26°C

$14,239 Объем

Yes

27°C

$6,809 Объем

No

28°C

$2,395 Объем

No

29°C

$272 Объем

No

30°C

$269 Объем

No

31°C

$171 Объем

No

32°C or higher

$420 Объем

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 27, 2026, reflects verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and consistent meteorological reporting.** Official forecasts issued the prior evening projected a daily minimum of 26°C under a low-pressure trough and active southerly flow, which brought periods of heavy showers, thunderstorms, and high cloud cover that limited overnight radiative cooling. Hourly records beginning around 10 a.m. on the 27th showed temperatures already in the upper 20s (e.g., 27.9–28.5°C), consistent with an overnight low near 26°C rather than the lower or higher brackets in the market. This outcome aligns with typical late-August climatology in Hong Kong (climatological daily minima near 25–26°C) and the influence of persistent moisture and cloudiness from the regional weather pattern, which prevented both greater cooling and significant daytime heating beyond the observed 31°C high. Multiple independent weather summaries and HKO-linked data feeds corroborated the same 26°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the result are a post-event revision to HKO station data (for example, a single urban or airport sensor recording 25°C or 27°C due to localized effects) or an official clarification on the precise measurement window or station used for market resolution. With the date now passed and broad agreement across official and secondary sources, such adjustments remain low-probability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$35,782
Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 27, 2026, reflects verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and consistent meteorological reporting.** Official forecasts issued the prior evening projected a daily minimum of 26°C under a low-pressure trough and active southerly flow, which brought periods of heavy showers, thunderstorms, and high cloud cover that limited overnight radiative cooling. Hourly records beginning around 10 a.m. on the 27th showed temperatures already in the upper 20s (e.g., 27.9–28.5°C), consistent with an overnight low near 26°C rather than the lower or higher brackets in the market. This outcome aligns with typical late-August climatology in Hong Kong (climatological daily minima near 25–26°C) and the influence of persistent moisture and cloudiness from the regional weather pattern, which prevented both greater cooling and significant daytime heating beyond the observed 31°C high. Multiple independent weather summaries and HKO-linked data feeds corroborated the same 26°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the result are a post-event revision to HKO station data (for example, a single urban or airport sensor recording 25°C or 27°C due to localized effects) or an official clarification on the precise measurement window or station used for market resolution. With the date now passed and broad agreement across official and secondary sources, such adjustments remain low-probability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$35,782
Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 27 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «26°C» с 100%, за ним следует «22°C or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 27 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $35.8K с момента запуска рынка Aug 25, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 27 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 27 августа?» — «26°C» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «22°C or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 27 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.