**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 31 августа?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,002 Объем
$23,002 Объем
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,002 Объем
$23,002 Объем
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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