**Current official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a high of 28–29°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 5, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit daytime heating.** Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with peaks expected in the afternoon under stable high pressure and no significant moisture or frontal activity. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where highs typically range 26–30°C before autumn cooling accelerates. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C (combined ~81% implied probability) because small differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the short lead time and consistent guidance. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 5 сентября?
30°C 36%
29°C 33%
28°C 19%
27°C 9%
23°C или ниже
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
19%
29°C
32%
30°C
36%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C или выше
1%
30°C 36%
29°C 33%
28°C 19%
27°C 9%
23°C или ниже
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
19%
29°C
32%
30°C
36%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a high of 28–29°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 5, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit daytime heating.** Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with peaks expected in the afternoon under stable high pressure and no significant moisture or frontal activity. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where highs typically range 26–30°C before autumn cooling accelerates. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C (combined ~81% implied probability) because small differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the short lead time and consistent guidance. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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