Current numerical weather prediction models, including MetService guidance and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on September 3 under northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate wind mixing that limits daytime warming. This setup aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where highs typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus favoring 16°C (60.5%) and 17°C (31.5%) reflects minor upside from forecast spread, potential clearing trends, and official measurement criteria at the reference station, while lower outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of strong cold-air advection or persistent cloud cover in the latest runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 3 сентября?
16°C 61%
17°C 33%
15°C 4%
18°C 2%
НОВОЕ
$15,732 Объем
НОВОЕ
$15,732 Объем
3 сент. 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
61%
17°C
33%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
17°C 33%
15°C 4%
18°C 2%
НОВОЕ
$15,732 Объем
НОВОЕ
$15,732 Объем
3 сент. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$198 Объем
<1%
11°C
$275 Объем
<1%
12°C
$281 Объем
<1%
13°C
$322 Объем
<1%
14°C
$746 Объем
<1%
15°C
$2,480 Объем
4%
16°C
$3,838 Объем
61%
17°C
$4,752 Объем
33%
18°C
$966 Объем
2%
19°C
$1,228 Объем
2%
20°C or higher
$645 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including MetService guidance and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on September 3 under northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate wind mixing that limits daytime warming. This setup aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where highs typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus favoring 16°C (60.5%) and 17°C (31.5%) reflects minor upside from forecast spread, potential clearing trends, and official measurement criteria at the reference station, while lower outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of strong cold-air advection or persistent cloud cover in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$15,732Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including MetService guidance and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on September 3 under northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate wind mixing that limits daytime warming. This setup aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where highs typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus favoring 16°C (60.5%) and 17°C (31.5%) reflects minor upside from forecast spread, potential clearing trends, and official measurement criteria at the reference station, while lower outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of strong cold-air advection or persistent cloud cover in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15,732Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including MetService guidance and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on September 3 under northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate wind mixing that limits daytime warming. This setup aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where highs typically range 13–16°C. Trader consensus favoring 16°C (60.5%) and 17°C (31.5%) reflects minor upside from forecast spread, potential clearing trends, and official measurement criteria at the reference station, while lower outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of strong cold-air advection or persistent cloud cover in the latest runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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