Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 96–99°F for Austin on September 4, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, humid Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors the market’s clustered 92–97°F outcomes, as scattered convection could reduce peak insolation and cap temperatures in the mid-90s while clearer intervals allow readings closer to 98–99°F. Historical September averages near 94°F provide context, yet late-summer instability introduces model spread on exact timing of any cooling moisture, sustaining the tight distribution across leading bins as traders weigh the latest guidance updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 4 сентября?
92-93°F 29%
90–91°F 25%
94-95°F 19%
96-97°F 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
87°F или ниже
1%
88-89°F
3%
90–91°F
25%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
2%
106°F или выше
2%
92-93°F 29%
90–91°F 25%
94-95°F 19%
96-97°F 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
87°F или ниже
$124 Объем
1%
88-89°F
$182 Объем
3%
90–91°F
$0 Объем
25%
92-93°F
$0 Объем
29%
94-95°F
$0 Объем
19%
96-97°F
$87 Объем
15%
98-99°F
$13 Объем
13%
100-101°F
$10 Объем
8%
102-103°F
$0 Объем
5%
104-105°F
$0 Объем
2%
106°F или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 96–99°F for Austin on September 4, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, humid Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors the market’s clustered 92–97°F outcomes, as scattered convection could reduce peak insolation and cap temperatures in the mid-90s while clearer intervals allow readings closer to 98–99°F. Historical September averages near 94°F provide context, yet late-summer instability introduces model spread on exact timing of any cooling moisture, sustaining the tight distribution across leading bins as traders weigh the latest guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Объем
$416Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 96–99°F for Austin on September 4, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, humid Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors the market’s clustered 92–97°F outcomes, as scattered convection could reduce peak insolation and cap temperatures in the mid-90s while clearer intervals allow readings closer to 98–99°F. Historical September averages near 94°F provide context, yet late-summer instability introduces model spread on exact timing of any cooling moisture, sustaining the tight distribution across leading bins as traders weigh the latest guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$416Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 96–99°F for Austin on September 4, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, humid Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors the market’s clustered 92–97°F outcomes, as scattered convection could reduce peak insolation and cap temperatures in the mid-90s while clearer intervals allow readings closer to 98–99°F. Historical September averages near 94°F provide context, yet late-summer instability introduces model spread on exact timing of any cooling moisture, sustaining the tight distribution across leading bins as traders weigh the latest guidance updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы