Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the September 2 high near 100–101°F under partly cloudy skies with a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk and heat indices approaching 109°F. This aligns with model consensus showing light southwesterly flow and minimal moisture to suppress temperatures below the upper 90s or push them into triple digits. The outcome sits well above the 1991–2020 September 2 climatological average of 94°F, reflecting persistent late-summer heat across central Texas. Traders have priced 100–101°F as the clear favorite at 49% implied probability, with 98–99°F the main alternative, as the latest guidance shows little run-to-run variability and resolution hinges on whether the daily maximum reaches or exceeds the 100°F threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 2 сентября?
100-101°F 55%
98–99°F 32%
102-103°F 12%
96-97°F 4%
НОВОЕ
$14,655 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,655 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
87°F или ниже
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98–99°F
32%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
1%
106°F или выше
1%
100-101°F 55%
98–99°F 32%
102-103°F 12%
96-97°F 4%
НОВОЕ
$14,655 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,655 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
87°F или ниже
$541 Объем
<1%
88-89°F
$99 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$574 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$844 Объем
<1%
94-95°F
$508 Объем
1%
96-97°F
$1,751 Объем
4%
98–99°F
$6,010 Объем
32%
100-101°F
$2,375 Объем
55%
102-103°F
$576 Объем
12%
104-105°F
$584 Объем
1%
106°F или выше
$794 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the September 2 high near 100–101°F under partly cloudy skies with a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk and heat indices approaching 109°F. This aligns with model consensus showing light southwesterly flow and minimal moisture to suppress temperatures below the upper 90s or push them into triple digits. The outcome sits well above the 1991–2020 September 2 climatological average of 94°F, reflecting persistent late-summer heat across central Texas. Traders have priced 100–101°F as the clear favorite at 49% implied probability, with 98–99°F the main alternative, as the latest guidance shows little run-to-run variability and resolution hinges on whether the daily maximum reaches or exceeds the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$14,655Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the September 2 high near 100–101°F under partly cloudy skies with a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk and heat indices approaching 109°F. This aligns with model consensus showing light southwesterly flow and minimal moisture to suppress temperatures below the upper 90s or push them into triple digits. The outcome sits well above the 1991–2020 September 2 climatological average of 94°F, reflecting persistent late-summer heat across central Texas. Traders have priced 100–101°F as the clear favorite at 49% implied probability, with 98–99°F the main alternative, as the latest guidance shows little run-to-run variability and resolution hinges on whether the daily maximum reaches or exceeds the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$14,655Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the September 2 high near 100–101°F under partly cloudy skies with a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk and heat indices approaching 109°F. This aligns with model consensus showing light southwesterly flow and minimal moisture to suppress temperatures below the upper 90s or push them into triple digits. The outcome sits well above the 1991–2020 September 2 climatological average of 94°F, reflecting persistent late-summer heat across central Texas. Traders have priced 100–101°F as the clear favorite at 49% implied probability, with 98–99°F the main alternative, as the latest guidance shows little run-to-run variability and resolution hinges on whether the daily maximum reaches or exceeds the 100°F threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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