Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 2 project overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies ahead of any frontal passage. These conditions align closely with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome while capping downside risk to 69°F or below, which would require an atypical early-September cold surge. Warmer scenarios above 80°F remain possible if daytime heating lingers longer into the evening. Traders weigh ensemble spread and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day change, with resolution hinging on the official Austin-Bergstrom minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 2 сентября?
69°F или ниже 97%
88°F или выше 96%
74-75°F 86%
84-85°F 86%
69°F или ниже
97%
70-71°F
85%
72-73°F
85%
74-75°F
86%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
80%
80-81°F
85%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
86%
86-87°F
84%
88°F или выше
96%
69°F или ниже 97%
88°F или выше 96%
74-75°F 86%
84-85°F 86%
69°F или ниже
97%
70-71°F
85%
72-73°F
85%
74-75°F
86%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
80%
80-81°F
85%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
86%
86-87°F
84%
88°F или выше
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 2 project overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies ahead of any frontal passage. These conditions align closely with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome while capping downside risk to 69°F or below, which would require an atypical early-September cold surge. Warmer scenarios above 80°F remain possible if daytime heating lingers longer into the evening. Traders weigh ensemble spread and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day change, with resolution hinging on the official Austin-Bergstrom minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы