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icon for Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 31 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 31 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 31 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 31 августа?

авг. 29

авг. 30

авг. 31

авг. 29

авг. 30

авг. 31

90-91°F 35%

88-89°F 29%

86-87°F 20%

94-95°F 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

90-91°F 35%

88-89°F 29%

86-87°F 20%

94-95°F 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

81°F или ниже

$0 Объем

1%

82-83°F

$0 Объем

7%

84-85°F

$0 Объем

7%

86-87°F

$0 Объем

20%

88-89°F

$0 Объем

29%

90-91°F

$0 Объем

35%

92-93°F

$0 Объем

19%

94-95°F

$0 Объем

19%

96-97°F

$0 Объем

7%

98-99°F

$0 Объем

7%

100°F или выше

$0 Объем

6%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a southwesterly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area ahead of a weak front, supporting afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s on August 31. Trader weighting between 88–91°F outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover from residual moisture, and exact timing of peak insolation, which can shift maximum readings by 2–3°F. Historical late-August climatology shows similar setups often peak near 87–90°F, while any increase in dew points or convective inhibition could cap temperatures below model consensus. Updated runs and local observations through August 30 will refine the range ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a southwesterly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area ahead of a weak front, supporting afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s on August 31. Trader weighting between 88–91°F outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover from residual moisture, and exact timing of peak insolation, which can shift maximum readings by 2–3°F. Historical late-August climatology shows similar setups often peak near 87–90°F, while any increase in dew points or convective inhibition could cap temperatures below model consensus. Updated runs and local observations through August 30 will refine the range ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Будет ли максимальная температура в Чикаго в пределах 84-85°F 30 августа?

Будет ли максимальная температура в Чикаго в пределах 84-85°F 30 августа?

35%
Да
icon for Будет ли максимальная температура в Чикаго в пределах 80-81°F 29 августа?

Будет ли максимальная температура в Чикаго в пределах 80-81°F 29 августа?

50%
Да
icon for Будет ли самая низкая температура в Чикаго 31 августа 84°F или выше?

Будет ли самая низкая температура в Чикаго 31 августа 84°F или выше?

46%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 31 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «90-91°F» с 35%, за ним следует «88-89°F» с 29%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 35¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 35%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 31 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 29, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 31 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 31 августа?» — «90-91°F» с 35%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 35%. Следующий ближайший исход — «88-89°F» с 29%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 31 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.