Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature near 28–30°C for Incheon on August 29, with cloud cover, showers, and moderate southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 29–30°C amid lingering summer moisture and urban-coastal influences. The tight clustering around 29°C (36% implied probability) versus 30°C (27.5%) and 28°C (19.5%) reflects minor model spread on rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighting the most probable 1–2°C range based on ensemble consensus and historical verification of similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and KMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 29 августа?
29°C 35%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
35%
30°C
28%
31°C
11%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
35%
30°C
28%
31°C
11%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature near 28–30°C for Incheon on August 29, with cloud cover, showers, and moderate southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 29–30°C amid lingering summer moisture and urban-coastal influences. The tight clustering around 29°C (36% implied probability) versus 30°C (27.5%) and 28°C (19.5%) reflects minor model spread on rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighting the most probable 1–2°C range based on ensemble consensus and historical verification of similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and KMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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