**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts and global model consensus position 24–25°C as the most likely overnight lows for Seoul/Incheon on August 29, driving the market's 40% and 28% implied probabilities.** Persistent cloud cover, expected widespread rain or thunderstorms from a frontal system, and elevated humidity are limiting radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms. KMA guidance explicitly projects lows of 22–25°C across the capital region, with Incheon airport forecasts centering on 24°C. Traders are weighting the consensus from short-range ensembles and the absence of clear-sky conditions that could allow deeper cooling to 22°C or below. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs ahead of the 29th will provide the final resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 29 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 29 августа?
24°C 40%
25°C 34%
23°C 15%
26°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
15%
24°C
40%
25°C
34%
26°C
15%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C или выше
1%
24°C 40%
25°C 34%
23°C 15%
26°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
20°C
$0 Объем
1%
21°C
$61 Объем
3%
22°C
$20 Объем
6%
23°C
$0 Объем
15%
24°C
$0 Объем
40%
25°C
$0 Объем
34%
26°C
$6 Объем
15%
27°C
$15 Объем
2%
28°C
$0 Объем
1%
29°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts and global model consensus position 24–25°C as the most likely overnight lows for Seoul/Incheon on August 29, driving the market's 40% and 28% implied probabilities.** Persistent cloud cover, expected widespread rain or thunderstorms from a frontal system, and elevated humidity are limiting radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms. KMA guidance explicitly projects lows of 22–25°C across the capital region, with Incheon airport forecasts centering on 24°C. Traders are weighting the consensus from short-range ensembles and the absence of clear-sky conditions that could allow deeper cooling to 22°C or below. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs ahead of the 29th will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$103Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts and global model consensus position 24–25°C as the most likely overnight lows for Seoul/Incheon on August 29, driving the market's 40% and 28% implied probabilities.** Persistent cloud cover, expected widespread rain or thunderstorms from a frontal system, and elevated humidity are limiting radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms. KMA guidance explicitly projects lows of 22–25°C across the capital region, with Incheon airport forecasts centering on 24°C. Traders are weighting the consensus from short-range ensembles and the absence of clear-sky conditions that could allow deeper cooling to 22°C or below. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs ahead of the 29th will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$103Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts and global model consensus position 24–25°C as the most likely overnight lows for Seoul/Incheon on August 29, driving the market's 40% and 28% implied probabilities.** Persistent cloud cover, expected widespread rain or thunderstorms from a frontal system, and elevated humidity are limiting radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms. KMA guidance explicitly projects lows of 22–25°C across the capital region, with Incheon airport forecasts centering on 24°C. Traders are weighting the consensus from short-range ensembles and the absence of clear-sky conditions that could allow deeper cooling to 22°C or below. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs ahead of the 29th will provide the final resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы