The tight spread between 28°C (29%) and 29°C (27.5%) as leading outcomes reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila's August 29 maximum amid the southwest monsoon. Daily peak temperatures hinge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, versus any breaks that allow greater surface heating. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C set the thermodynamic baseline, while urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2°C locally. PAGASA and global model ensembles show modest disagreement on convective activity over the next 48 hours, with resolution depending on updated guidance for wind patterns and precipitation timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 29 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 29 августа?
28°C 29%
29°C 28%
30°C 15%
27°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
14%
26°C
7%
27°C
15%
28°C
29%
29°C
28%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C или выше
4%
28°C 29%
29°C 28%
30°C 15%
27°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
24°C
$0 Объем
<1%
25°C
$63 Объем
14%
26°C
$77 Объем
7%
27°C
$0 Объем
15%
28°C
$17 Объем
29%
29°C
$0 Объем
28%
30°C
$0 Объем
15%
31°C
$40 Объем
5%
32°C
$228 Объем
3%
33°C или выше
$105 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight spread between 28°C (29%) and 29°C (27.5%) as leading outcomes reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila's August 29 maximum amid the southwest monsoon. Daily peak temperatures hinge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, versus any breaks that allow greater surface heating. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C set the thermodynamic baseline, while urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2°C locally. PAGASA and global model ensembles show modest disagreement on convective activity over the next 48 hours, with resolution depending on updated guidance for wind patterns and precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Объем
$530Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight spread between 28°C (29%) and 29°C (27.5%) as leading outcomes reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila's August 29 maximum amid the southwest monsoon. Daily peak temperatures hinge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, versus any breaks that allow greater surface heating. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C set the thermodynamic baseline, while urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2°C locally. PAGASA and global model ensembles show modest disagreement on convective activity over the next 48 hours, with resolution depending on updated guidance for wind patterns and precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$530Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight spread between 28°C (29%) and 29°C (27.5%) as leading outcomes reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila's August 29 maximum amid the southwest monsoon. Daily peak temperatures hinge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, versus any breaks that allow greater surface heating. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C set the thermodynamic baseline, while urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila can add 1–2°C locally. PAGASA and global model ensembles show modest disagreement on convective activity over the next 48 hours, with resolution depending on updated guidance for wind patterns and precipitation timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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