Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to clear skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover positioning Madrid for a daytime peak near 30°C on August 29. These conditions favor strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal influences, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (62.5% implied probability) over 30°C (30%). Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread between ensemble outputs and official station criteria, with low odds on 32°C+ underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric stability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely refine this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 29 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 29 августа?
31°C 63%
30°C 30%
32°C 6%
29°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
30%
31°C
63%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 63%
30°C 30%
32°C 6%
29°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$438 Объем
<1%
26°C
$321 Объем
<1%
27°C
$261 Объем
<1%
28°C
$215 Объем
<1%
29°C
$718 Объем
3%
30°C
$1,913 Объем
30%
31°C
$2,312 Объем
63%
32°C
$575 Объем
6%
33°C
$478 Объем
2%
34°C
$204 Объем
<1%
35°C or higher
$207 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to clear skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover positioning Madrid for a daytime peak near 30°C on August 29. These conditions favor strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal influences, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (62.5% implied probability) over 30°C (30%). Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread between ensemble outputs and official station criteria, with low odds on 32°C+ underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric stability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$7,643Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to clear skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover positioning Madrid for a daytime peak near 30°C on August 29. These conditions favor strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal influences, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (62.5% implied probability) over 30°C (30%). Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread between ensemble outputs and official station criteria, with low odds on 32°C+ underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric stability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,643Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to clear skies, light southerly or southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover positioning Madrid for a daytime peak near 30°C on August 29. These conditions favor strong solar heating without significant moisture or frontal influences, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (62.5% implied probability) over 30°C (30%). Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread between ensemble outputs and official station criteria, with low odds on 32°C+ underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric stability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will likely refine this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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