Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, dominate conditions over Metro Manila and are expected to suppress maximum temperatures on August 30 through extensive cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate daily highs of 27–29 °C with very high rainfall probabilities, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines near 30 °C are being undercut by these dynamic factors, while model spread in timing and intensity of showers creates the tight clustering around 29–31 °C in trader pricing. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the weekend will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 30 августа?
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 19%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
26%
31°C
21%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C или выше
1%
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 19%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
26%
31°C
21%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, dominate conditions over Metro Manila and are expected to suppress maximum temperatures on August 30 through extensive cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate daily highs of 27–29 °C with very high rainfall probabilities, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines near 30 °C are being undercut by these dynamic factors, while model spread in timing and intensity of showers creates the tight clustering around 29–31 °C in trader pricing. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the weekend will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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