Recent model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service and international forecasts points to a maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds. Persistent southerly flow, typical of late winter, has kept daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms after cooler conditions on August 29. This atmospheric setup limits rapid warming and supports the market’s emphasis on 17°C as the leading outcome, with 18°C and 16°C as close contenders. Updated SAWS briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 30 августа?
17°C 44%
18°C 25%
16°C 22%
15°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
6%
16°C
22%
17°C
44%
18°C
25%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
17°C 44%
18°C 25%
16°C 22%
15°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
13°C
$0 Объем
1%
14°C
$51 Объем
3%
15°C
$5 Объем
6%
16°C
$36 Объем
22%
17°C
$561 Объем
44%
18°C
$43 Объем
25%
19°C
$24 Объем
6%
20°C
$0 Объем
1%
21°C
$10 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service and international forecasts points to a maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds. Persistent southerly flow, typical of late winter, has kept daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms after cooler conditions on August 29. This atmospheric setup limits rapid warming and supports the market’s emphasis on 17°C as the leading outcome, with 18°C and 16°C as close contenders. Updated SAWS briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$731Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service and international forecasts points to a maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds. Persistent southerly flow, typical of late winter, has kept daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms after cooler conditions on August 29. This atmospheric setup limits rapid warming and supports the market’s emphasis on 17°C as the leading outcome, with 18°C and 16°C as close contenders. Updated SAWS briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$731Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service and international forecasts points to a maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds. Persistent southerly flow, typical of late winter, has kept daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms after cooler conditions on August 29. This atmospheric setup limits rapid warming and supports the market’s emphasis on 17°C as the leading outcome, with 18°C and 16°C as close contenders. Updated SAWS briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы