Forecast consensus from multiple models shows Madrid reaching a high of 32–33°C on August 30 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds that favor daytime heating without significant mixing. Dry air and minimal cloud cover support strong solar insolation in the city's continental Mediterranean climate, where late-August climatology typically peaks near 30–32°C. Recent runs indicate slight warming potential from upstream ridging, positioning 33°C as the mode with 34°C as the main alternative if boundary-layer conditions strengthen further. Traders assign over 75% combined probability to these two outcomes, reflecting model agreement and low uncertainty two days out, with any deviation hinging on minor shifts in wind or moisture ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 30 августа?
33°C 57%
34°C 21%
32°C 18%
31°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
18%
33°C
57%
34°C
21%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
34°C 21%
32°C 18%
31°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$34 Объем
<1%
29°C
$0 Объем
4%
30°C
$0 Объем
4%
31°C
$35 Объем
9%
32°C
$53 Объем
18%
33°C
$274 Объем
57%
34°C
$533 Объем
21%
35°C
$50 Объем
6%
36°C
$0 Объем
2%
37°C
$15 Объем
<1%
38°C or higher
$65 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models shows Madrid reaching a high of 32–33°C on August 30 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds that favor daytime heating without significant mixing. Dry air and minimal cloud cover support strong solar insolation in the city's continental Mediterranean climate, where late-August climatology typically peaks near 30–32°C. Recent runs indicate slight warming potential from upstream ridging, positioning 33°C as the mode with 34°C as the main alternative if boundary-layer conditions strengthen further. Traders assign over 75% combined probability to these two outcomes, reflecting model agreement and low uncertainty two days out, with any deviation hinging on minor shifts in wind or moisture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$964Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models shows Madrid reaching a high of 32–33°C on August 30 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds that favor daytime heating without significant mixing. Dry air and minimal cloud cover support strong solar insolation in the city's continental Mediterranean climate, where late-August climatology typically peaks near 30–32°C. Recent runs indicate slight warming potential from upstream ridging, positioning 33°C as the mode with 34°C as the main alternative if boundary-layer conditions strengthen further. Traders assign over 75% combined probability to these two outcomes, reflecting model agreement and low uncertainty two days out, with any deviation hinging on minor shifts in wind or moisture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$964Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models shows Madrid reaching a high of 32–33°C on August 30 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds that favor daytime heating without significant mixing. Dry air and minimal cloud cover support strong solar insolation in the city's continental Mediterranean climate, where late-August climatology typically peaks near 30–32°C. Recent runs indicate slight warming potential from upstream ridging, positioning 33°C as the mode with 34°C as the main alternative if boundary-layer conditions strengthen further. Traders assign over 75% combined probability to these two outcomes, reflecting model agreement and low uncertainty two days out, with any deviation hinging on minor shifts in wind or moisture ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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