Recent ensemble forecasts from major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate stable anticyclonic conditions over northern Italy, with clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and strong daytime radiative heating supporting peak temperatures near 29–31 °C in Milan on August 30. This pattern follows a brief period of increased cloud cover and showers earlier in the week that suppressed maxima, now replaced by drier air and reduced humidity that favors efficient surface warming. Historical August averages near 30 °C provide climatological context, while minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C. Updated runs expected overnight will refine these values ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 30 августа?
30°C 45%
29°C 33%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
33%
30°C
45%
31°C
17%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
6%
30°C 45%
29°C 33%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
33%
30°C
45%
31°C
17%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate stable anticyclonic conditions over northern Italy, with clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and strong daytime radiative heating supporting peak temperatures near 29–31 °C in Milan on August 30. This pattern follows a brief period of increased cloud cover and showers earlier in the week that suppressed maxima, now replaced by drier air and reduced humidity that favors efficient surface warming. Historical August averages near 30 °C provide climatological context, while minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C. Updated runs expected overnight will refine these values ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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