Latest forecast models from agencies including the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international ensembles point to a high of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible precipitation, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 70 %. A high-pressure system building after Saturday’s rain has advected milder air while limiting daytime heating through scattered cloud cover and moderate winds. Historical August maxima near 25 °C provide context, and the tight clustering of runs around this range leaves little room for 28 °C or higher unless insolation increases markedly. Updated model runs expected today and tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 30 августа?
27°C 44%
26°C 28%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
44%
28°C
20%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 44%
26°C 28%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$69 Объем
<1%
22°C
$0 Объем
1%
23°C
$0 Объем
4%
24°C
$0 Объем
6%
25°C
$0 Объем
9%
26°C
$7 Объем
28%
27°C
$52 Объем
44%
28°C
$0 Объем
20%
29°C
$8 Объем
5%
30°C
$0 Объем
4%
31°C or higher
$11 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international ensembles point to a high of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible precipitation, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 70 %. A high-pressure system building after Saturday’s rain has advected milder air while limiting daytime heating through scattered cloud cover and moderate winds. Historical August maxima near 25 °C provide context, and the tight clustering of runs around this range leaves little room for 28 °C or higher unless insolation increases markedly. Updated model runs expected today and tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$147Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international ensembles point to a high of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible precipitation, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 70 %. A high-pressure system building after Saturday’s rain has advected milder air while limiting daytime heating through scattered cloud cover and moderate winds. Historical August maxima near 25 °C provide context, and the tight clustering of runs around this range leaves little room for 28 °C or higher unless insolation increases markedly. Updated model runs expected today and tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$147Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies including the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international ensembles point to a high of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible precipitation, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 70 %. A high-pressure system building after Saturday’s rain has advected milder air while limiting daytime heating through scattered cloud cover and moderate winds. Historical August maxima near 25 °C provide context, and the tight clustering of runs around this range leaves little room for 28 °C or higher unless insolation increases markedly. Updated model runs expected today and tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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