Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system approaching Warsaw on August 29, bringing increased cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow that limits daytime solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup caps expected maxima near 20–21 °C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, after several prior days reached 25–26 °C under clearer high-pressure conditions. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress temperatures by 2–4 °C depending on cloud thickness and rainfall rates. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers on 21–23 °C highs, providing context for the current tight distribution between 19 °C and 22 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance from IMGW or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 29 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 29 августа?
21°C 26%
20°C 23%
19°C 17%
22°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
17%
20°C
23%
21°C
26%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 26%
20°C 23%
19°C 17%
22°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
15°C or below
$21 Объем
<1%
16°C
$97 Объем
<1%
17°C
$136 Объем
2%
18°C
$127 Объем
5%
19°C
$121 Объем
17%
20°C
$59 Объем
23%
21°C
$75 Объем
26%
22°C
$275 Объем
13%
23°C
$11 Объем
7%
24°C
$9 Объем
5%
25°C or higher
$21 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system approaching Warsaw on August 29, bringing increased cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow that limits daytime solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup caps expected maxima near 20–21 °C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, after several prior days reached 25–26 °C under clearer high-pressure conditions. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress temperatures by 2–4 °C depending on cloud thickness and rainfall rates. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers on 21–23 °C highs, providing context for the current tight distribution between 19 °C and 22 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance from IMGW or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$951Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system approaching Warsaw on August 29, bringing increased cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow that limits daytime solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup caps expected maxima near 20–21 °C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, after several prior days reached 25–26 °C under clearer high-pressure conditions. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress temperatures by 2–4 °C depending on cloud thickness and rainfall rates. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers on 21–23 °C highs, providing context for the current tight distribution between 19 °C and 22 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance from IMGW or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$951Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system approaching Warsaw on August 29, bringing increased cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow that limits daytime solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup caps expected maxima near 20–21 °C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, after several prior days reached 25–26 °C under clearer high-pressure conditions. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress temperatures by 2–4 °C depending on cloud thickness and rainfall rates. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers on 21–23 °C highs, providing context for the current tight distribution between 19 °C and 22 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance from IMGW or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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