Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show the overnight low in Warsaw hovering near 14–16 °C on 29 August 2026, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing. Dew points near 10–12 °C support efficient surface heat loss once clouds thin, yet lingering moisture and a weak frontal passage introduce variability in the exact minimum. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13 °C and 15 °C because small shifts in cloud cover or timing of showers—both within forecast uncertainty ranges—can easily move the observed low across those thresholds. Historical August minima near 15 °C provide context, but today’s evolving boundary-layer conditions keep probabilities fluid until official Polish Institute of Meteorology data finalize the reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 29 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 29 августа?
15°C 45%
13°C 45%
16°C 37%
14°C 23%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
11°C or below
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
45%
14°C
23%
15°C
45%
16°C
37%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 45%
13°C 45%
16°C 37%
14°C 23%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
11°C or below
$145 Объем
2%
12°C
$5 Объем
5%
13°C
$16 Объем
45%
14°C
$0 Объем
23%
15°C
$0 Объем
45%
16°C
$0 Объем
37%
17°C
$314 Объем
<1%
18°C
$110 Объем
<1%
19°C
$25 Объем
<1%
20°C
$20 Объем
<1%
21°C or higher
$25 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show the overnight low in Warsaw hovering near 14–16 °C on 29 August 2026, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing. Dew points near 10–12 °C support efficient surface heat loss once clouds thin, yet lingering moisture and a weak frontal passage introduce variability in the exact minimum. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13 °C and 15 °C because small shifts in cloud cover or timing of showers—both within forecast uncertainty ranges—can easily move the observed low across those thresholds. Historical August minima near 15 °C provide context, but today’s evolving boundary-layer conditions keep probabilities fluid until official Polish Institute of Meteorology data finalize the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$660Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show the overnight low in Warsaw hovering near 14–16 °C on 29 August 2026, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing. Dew points near 10–12 °C support efficient surface heat loss once clouds thin, yet lingering moisture and a weak frontal passage introduce variability in the exact minimum. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13 °C and 15 °C because small shifts in cloud cover or timing of showers—both within forecast uncertainty ranges—can easily move the observed low across those thresholds. Historical August minima near 15 °C provide context, but today’s evolving boundary-layer conditions keep probabilities fluid until official Polish Institute of Meteorology data finalize the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$660Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show the overnight low in Warsaw hovering near 14–16 °C on 29 August 2026, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing. Dew points near 10–12 °C support efficient surface heat loss once clouds thin, yet lingering moisture and a weak frontal passage introduce variability in the exact minimum. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13 °C and 15 °C because small shifts in cloud cover or timing of showers—both within forecast uncertainty ranges—can easily move the observed low across those thresholds. Historical August minima near 15 °C provide context, but today’s evolving boundary-layer conditions keep probabilities fluid until official Polish Institute of Meteorology data finalize the reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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