**Forecast consensus from official sources points to a high near 100°F in Austin on August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service products and WeatherBug both indicate highs around 100°F under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northeast-to-east winds and only slight rain chances (under 20-30%). Other models cluster between 97°F and 102°F, reflecting typical late-summer variability in the region. Key scientific drivers include strong high-pressure ridging promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy conditions, combined with above-average soil moisture from prior weeks that limits extreme surface heating while humidity keeps heat indices elevated. Historical August averages for Austin (around 96°F) provide context, but the current pattern favors values near or slightly above the seasonal norm without strong cold fronts or tropical moisture to suppress temperatures. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader preference for the 100-101°F bin over lower (98-99°F at 16.5%) or higher (102-103°F at 24.5%) ranges. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum at a primary station such as Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, with low precipitation risk reducing forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 28 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 28 августа?
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 25%
98-99°F 15%
104-105°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
91°F или ниже
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
25%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 25%
98-99°F 15%
104-105°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
91°F или ниже
$123 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$88 Объем
1%
94-95°F
$68 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$284 Объем
4%
98-99°F
$1,158 Объем
15%
100-101°F
$1,914 Объем
52%
102-103°F
$899 Объем
25%
104-105°F
$372 Объем
5%
106-107°F
$97 Объем
<1%
108-109°F
$330 Объем
<1%
110°F или выше
$280 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources points to a high near 100°F in Austin on August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service products and WeatherBug both indicate highs around 100°F under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northeast-to-east winds and only slight rain chances (under 20-30%). Other models cluster between 97°F and 102°F, reflecting typical late-summer variability in the region.
Key scientific drivers include strong high-pressure ridging promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy conditions, combined with above-average soil moisture from prior weeks that limits extreme surface heating while humidity keeps heat indices elevated. Historical August averages for Austin (around 96°F) provide context, but the current pattern favors values near or slightly above the seasonal norm without strong cold fronts or tropical moisture to suppress temperatures. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader preference for the 100-101°F bin over lower (98-99°F at 16.5%) or higher (102-103°F at 24.5%) ranges.
Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum at a primary station such as Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, with low precipitation risk reducing forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$5,612Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources points to a high near 100°F in Austin on August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service products and WeatherBug both indicate highs around 100°F under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northeast-to-east winds and only slight rain chances (under 20-30%). Other models cluster between 97°F and 102°F, reflecting typical late-summer variability in the region.
Key scientific drivers include strong high-pressure ridging promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy conditions, combined with above-average soil moisture from prior weeks that limits extreme surface heating while humidity keeps heat indices elevated. Historical August averages for Austin (around 96°F) provide context, but the current pattern favors values near or slightly above the seasonal norm without strong cold fronts or tropical moisture to suppress temperatures. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader preference for the 100-101°F bin over lower (98-99°F at 16.5%) or higher (102-103°F at 24.5%) ranges.
Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum at a primary station such as Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, with low precipitation risk reducing forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,612Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official sources points to a high near 100°F in Austin on August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service products and WeatherBug both indicate highs around 100°F under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northeast-to-east winds and only slight rain chances (under 20-30%). Other models cluster between 97°F and 102°F, reflecting typical late-summer variability in the region. Key scientific drivers include strong high-pressure ridging promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy conditions, combined with above-average soil moisture from prior weeks that limits extreme surface heating while humidity keeps heat indices elevated. Historical August averages for Austin (around 96°F) provide context, but the current pattern favors values near or slightly above the seasonal norm without strong cold fronts or tropical moisture to suppress temperatures. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader preference for the 100-101°F bin over lower (98-99°F at 16.5%) or higher (102-103°F at 24.5%) ranges. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum at a primary station such as Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, with low precipitation risk reducing forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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