Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate overnight lows of 12–14 °C for Mexico City on August 30, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation that promotes strong nocturnal radiative cooling when skies clear. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and cloud cover associated with scattered thunderstorms and showers are expected to limit cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical August minimum near 10 °C. Trader positioning favoring 6 °C or below alongside 11–15 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact cloud timing and any localized clearing that could enhance radiative losses, while the modest probability on 16 °C or higher aligns with continued humid, overcast conditions that suppress daytime heat retention into the night. Updated model runs and official 48-hour briefings will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Мехико 30 августа?
6°C или ниже 83%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
11°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
83%
7°C
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
6%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C или выше
24%
6°C или ниже 83%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
11°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
$17 Объем
83%
7°C
$69 Объем
2%
8°C
$16 Объем
5%
9°C
$6 Объем
6%
10°C
$0 Объем
25%
11°C
$0 Объем
26%
12°C
$0 Объем
26%
13°C
$0 Объем
27%
14°C
$0 Объем
27%
15°C
$0 Объем
26%
16°C или выше
$0 Объем
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate overnight lows of 12–14 °C for Mexico City on August 30, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation that promotes strong nocturnal radiative cooling when skies clear. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and cloud cover associated with scattered thunderstorms and showers are expected to limit cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical August minimum near 10 °C. Trader positioning favoring 6 °C or below alongside 11–15 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact cloud timing and any localized clearing that could enhance radiative losses, while the modest probability on 16 °C or higher aligns with continued humid, overcast conditions that suppress daytime heat retention into the night. Updated model runs and official 48-hour briefings will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Объем
$108Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate overnight lows of 12–14 °C for Mexico City on August 30, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation that promotes strong nocturnal radiative cooling when skies clear. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and cloud cover associated with scattered thunderstorms and showers are expected to limit cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical August minimum near 10 °C. Trader positioning favoring 6 °C or below alongside 11–15 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact cloud timing and any localized clearing that could enhance radiative losses, while the modest probability on 16 °C or higher aligns with continued humid, overcast conditions that suppress daytime heat retention into the night. Updated model runs and official 48-hour briefings will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$108Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate overnight lows of 12–14 °C for Mexico City on August 30, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation that promotes strong nocturnal radiative cooling when skies clear. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and cloud cover associated with scattered thunderstorms and showers are expected to limit cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical August minimum near 10 °C. Trader positioning favoring 6 °C or below alongside 11–15 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact cloud timing and any localized clearing that could enhance radiative losses, while the modest probability on 16 °C or higher aligns with continued humid, overcast conditions that suppress daytime heat retention into the night. Updated model runs and official 48-hour briefings will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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