Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum of 33°C under weak west-southwest winds, sunny intervals, and a broad low-pressure trough delivering scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, with a Very Hot Weather Warning in effect. This aligns with the market's leading 55% implied probability for 33°C, as current observations hover near 30–32°C across urban stations and climatological August averages near 31°C. Persistent high humidity (65–95%) and limited cloud cover support heat buildup, while variable shower timing introduces modest downside risk toward 32°C (35% probability). Updated model consensus remains stable, with no major revisions in the past 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 29 августа?
33°C 57%
32°C 27%
34°C 14%
31°C 3%
$39,093 Объем
$39,093 Объем
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
27%
33°C
57%
34°C
14%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
32°C 27%
34°C 14%
31°C 3%
$39,093 Объем
$39,093 Объем
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
27%
33°C
57%
34°C
14%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum of 33°C under weak west-southwest winds, sunny intervals, and a broad low-pressure trough delivering scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, with a Very Hot Weather Warning in effect. This aligns with the market's leading 55% implied probability for 33°C, as current observations hover near 30–32°C across urban stations and climatological August averages near 31°C. Persistent high humidity (65–95%) and limited cloud cover support heat buildup, while variable shower timing introduces modest downside risk toward 32°C (35% probability). Updated model consensus remains stable, with no major revisions in the past 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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