**Trader consensus strongly favors 28°C as the day's minimum temperature in Hong Kong, with 95% implied probability, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations.** HKO guidance issued on August 29 projects a range of 28–33°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, consistent with regional readings showing overnight lows holding near 28°C amid high humidity (80–95%) and light southwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Sea surface temperatures around 26–27°C further anchor boundary-layer warmth. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds interpreting stable model consensus and current station data. A shift to clearer skies overnight could allow modest additional radiative cooling toward 27°C, though such conditions remain unlikely given the persistent low-pressure trough and high moisture. The market resolves on verified HKO minimum readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 29 августа?
28°C 95%
26°C 5%
27°C 5%
25°C <1%
$18,529 Объем
$18,529 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C
95%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 95%
26°C 5%
27°C 5%
25°C <1%
$18,529 Объем
$18,529 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C
95%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 28°C as the day's minimum temperature in Hong Kong, with 95% implied probability, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations.** HKO guidance issued on August 29 projects a range of 28–33°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, consistent with regional readings showing overnight lows holding near 28°C amid high humidity (80–95%) and light southwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Sea surface temperatures around 26–27°C further anchor boundary-layer warmth. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds interpreting stable model consensus and current station data. A shift to clearer skies overnight could allow modest additional radiative cooling toward 27°C, though such conditions remain unlikely given the persistent low-pressure trough and high moisture. The market resolves on verified HKO minimum readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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