Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 project a maximum of 16°C under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds, consistent with late-winter patterns where strong NW flow can produce modest föhn warming on the lee side of the ranges. Recent model runs show limited variability, though slight upward revisions in some guidance reflect warmer air advection and clear skies. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C, reflecting trader assessment of potential for temperatures to edge above the central forecast amid variable wind gusts and measurement at the official site. Historical August daily highs average near 14–16°C, with 17–18°C occurring in warmer outliers during similar synoptic setups. Updated MetService guidance and any late model shifts will be the key near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 30 августа?
17°C 54%
18°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$10,847 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,847 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
17%
17°C
54%
18°C
28%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 54%
18°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$10,847 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,847 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
11°C or below
$342 Объем
<1%
12°C
$232 Объем
<1%
13°C
$235 Объем
<1%
14°C
$558 Объем
1%
15°C
$573 Объем
2%
16°C
$4,299 Объем
17%
17°C
$1,961 Объем
54%
18°C
$1,639 Объем
28%
19°C
$337 Объем
4%
20°C
$338 Объем
<1%
21°C or higher
$333 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 project a maximum of 16°C under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds, consistent with late-winter patterns where strong NW flow can produce modest föhn warming on the lee side of the ranges. Recent model runs show limited variability, though slight upward revisions in some guidance reflect warmer air advection and clear skies. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C, reflecting trader assessment of potential for temperatures to edge above the central forecast amid variable wind gusts and measurement at the official site. Historical August daily highs average near 14–16°C, with 17–18°C occurring in warmer outliers during similar synoptic setups. Updated MetService guidance and any late model shifts will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$10,847Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 project a maximum of 16°C under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds, consistent with late-winter patterns where strong NW flow can produce modest föhn warming on the lee side of the ranges. Recent model runs show limited variability, though slight upward revisions in some guidance reflect warmer air advection and clear skies. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C, reflecting trader assessment of potential for temperatures to edge above the central forecast amid variable wind gusts and measurement at the official site. Historical August daily highs average near 14–16°C, with 17–18°C occurring in warmer outliers during similar synoptic setups. Updated MetService guidance and any late model shifts will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,847Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 30 project a maximum of 16°C under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds, consistent with late-winter patterns where strong NW flow can produce modest föhn warming on the lee side of the ranges. Recent model runs show limited variability, though slight upward revisions in some guidance reflect warmer air advection and clear skies. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C, reflecting trader assessment of potential for temperatures to edge above the central forecast amid variable wind gusts and measurement at the official site. Historical August daily highs average near 14–16°C, with 17–18°C occurring in warmer outliers during similar synoptic setups. Updated MetService guidance and any late model shifts will be the key near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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