Current forecasts from MetService and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 30 most likely between 9–11 °C under clear skies and strong northwesterlies. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling overnight while wind mixing limits extreme drops, consistent with late-winter climatology showing typical minima near 8–10 °C. Slight spreads across numerical models arise from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and timing of wind gusts, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–12 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact low recorded at the official station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 30 августа?
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
7°C 39%
11°C 31%
6°C or below
11%
7°C
39%
8°C
50%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
31%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
7°C 39%
11°C 31%
6°C or below
11%
7°C
39%
8°C
50%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
31%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 30 most likely between 9–11 °C under clear skies and strong northwesterlies. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling overnight while wind mixing limits extreme drops, consistent with late-winter climatology showing typical minima near 8–10 °C. Slight spreads across numerical models arise from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and timing of wind gusts, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–12 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine the exact low recorded at the official station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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