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icon for Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 31 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 31 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 31 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 31 августа?

авг. 29

авг. 30

авг. 31

авг. 29

авг. 30

авг. 31

15°C или выше 85%

12°C 50%

13°C 50%

9°C 30%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

15°C или выше 85%

12°C 50%

13°C 50%

9°C 30%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

5°C or below

$0 Объем

4%

6°C

$0 Объем

6%

7°C

$0 Объем

11%

8°C

$0 Объем

29%

9°C

$0 Объем

30%

10°C

$0 Объем

30%

11°C

$0 Объем

26%

12°C

$0 Объем

50%

13°C

$0 Объем

50%

14°C

$0 Объем

2%

15°C или выше

$0 Объем

85%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official MetService forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 5°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by strong westerly winds and a few morning showers under a mainly fine regime.** This aligns with late-winter patterns where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by persistent northwesterlies, while historical averages place typical lows around 8–9°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some guidance suggesting values closer to 6–8°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover, keeping lower outcomes (5–9°C) competitive despite the market-implied lead for 15°C+. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of milder conditions persisting into the final weekend against the strengthening westerlies expected to enhance cooling. Updated MetService and NIWA guidance ahead of resolution will refine the precise minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official MetService forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 5°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by strong westerly winds and a few morning showers under a mainly fine regime.** This aligns with late-winter patterns where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by persistent northwesterlies, while historical averages place typical lows around 8–9°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with some guidance suggesting values closer to 6–8°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover, keeping lower outcomes (5–9°C) competitive despite the market-implied lead for 15°C+. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of milder conditions persisting into the final weekend against the strengthening westerlies expected to enhance cooling. Updated MetService and NIWA guidance ahead of resolution will refine the precise minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 30?

Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 30?

30%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 29?

Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 29?

56%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 31?

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 31?

56%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 31 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «15°C или выше» с 43%, за ним следует «9°C» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 31 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 29, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 31 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 31 августа?» — «15°C или выше» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «9°C» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 31 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.