Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily high near 14–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited cloud cover early but increasing shower risk later. This aligns with the month’s observed pattern of above-average maxima (several days reaching 16–17°C), though climatological norms for late August hover around 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 16°C as the mode reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread, recent warmth, and potential for brief warmer pockets before any frontal passage, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from earlier cooling or measurement timing at official stations. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 31 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 31 августа?
16°C 54%
17°C 24%
15°C 21%
14°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
21%
16°C
54%
17°C
24%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 54%
17°C 24%
15°C 21%
14°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
11°C or below
$186 Объем
<1%
12°C
$115 Объем
<1%
13°C
$177 Объем
2%
14°C
$103 Объем
3%
15°C
$373 Объем
21%
16°C
$1,170 Объем
54%
17°C
$237 Объем
24%
18°C
$11 Объем
1%
19°C
$142 Объем
<1%
20°C
$196 Объем
1%
21°C or higher
$186 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily high near 14–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited cloud cover early but increasing shower risk later. This aligns with the month’s observed pattern of above-average maxima (several days reaching 16–17°C), though climatological norms for late August hover around 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 16°C as the mode reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread, recent warmth, and potential for brief warmer pockets before any frontal passage, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from earlier cooling or measurement timing at official stations. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$2,895Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily high near 14–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited cloud cover early but increasing shower risk later. This aligns with the month’s observed pattern of above-average maxima (several days reaching 16–17°C), though climatological norms for late August hover around 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 16°C as the mode reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread, recent warmth, and potential for brief warmer pockets before any frontal passage, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from earlier cooling or measurement timing at official stations. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,895Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily high near 14–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited cloud cover early but increasing shower risk later. This aligns with the month’s observed pattern of above-average maxima (several days reaching 16–17°C), though climatological norms for late August hover around 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 16°C as the mode reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread, recent warmth, and potential for brief warmer pockets before any frontal passage, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from earlier cooling or measurement timing at official stations. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы