Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 31 августа?
67°F или ниже 59%
86°F или выше 59%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
59%
68–69°F
47%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
43%
86°F или выше
59%
67°F или ниже 59%
86°F или выше 59%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
$0 Объем
59%
68–69°F
$0 Объем
47%
70-71°F
$0 Объем
49%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
49%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
26%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
25%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
49%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
49%
82-83°F
$0 Объем
43%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
43%
86°F или выше
$0 Объем
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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