Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered showers across Metro Manila are moderating peak daytime heating, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models pointing to a Monday maximum near 28–32°C amid 80–90% rain chances. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation reduce surface energy budgets compared to clearer monsoon breaks, while typical late-August climatology favors 30–31°C under similar conditions. Trader clustering around 30–32°C reflects model spread on shower timing and intensity, with limited upside potential above 33°C unless a temporary clearing develops. Updated regional forecasts and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 31 августа?
31°C 32%
32°C 28%
30°C 24%
34°C 17%
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
13%
30°C
24%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
11%
34°C
17%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 32%
32°C 28%
30°C 24%
34°C 17%
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
13%
30°C
24%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
11%
34°C
17%
35°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered showers across Metro Manila are moderating peak daytime heating, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models pointing to a Monday maximum near 28–32°C amid 80–90% rain chances. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation reduce surface energy budgets compared to clearer monsoon breaks, while typical late-August climatology favors 30–31°C under similar conditions. Trader clustering around 30–32°C reflects model spread on shower timing and intensity, with limited upside potential above 33°C unless a temporary clearing develops. Updated regional forecasts and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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