Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 29 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 29 августа?
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 Объем
$2,323 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
11°C
100%
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 Объем
$2,323 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
11°C
$422 Объем
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$2,323Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,323Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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