Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 31, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 54–59 °F. Persistent onshore flow, a strengthening marine layer, and increasing low-level cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate west-southwest winds (10–20 mph) mix slightly warmer air downward. Historical climatology shows a 56.1 °F average minimum for the date, with rare dips below 52 °F under clear, calm conditions that current forecasts do not favor. Traders are therefore weighting the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins most heavily, reflecting consensus on typical late-summer marine influence tempered by modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength overnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 31 августа?
56-57°F 54%
58-59°F 30%
54-55°F 26%
60-61°F 24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
47°F или ниже
2%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
20%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
36%
58-59°F
30%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
3%
66°F или выше
<1%
56-57°F 54%
58-59°F 30%
54-55°F 26%
60-61°F 24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
47°F или ниже
$145 Объем
2%
48-49°F
$85 Объем
2%
50-51°F
$116 Объем
8%
52-53°F
$0 Объем
20%
54-55°F
$0 Объем
26%
56-57°F
$18 Объем
36%
58-59°F
$0 Объем
30%
60-61°F
$20 Объем
24%
62-63°F
$28 Объем
19%
64-65°F
$408 Объем
3%
66°F или выше
$221 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 31, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 54–59 °F. Persistent onshore flow, a strengthening marine layer, and increasing low-level cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate west-southwest winds (10–20 mph) mix slightly warmer air downward. Historical climatology shows a 56.1 °F average minimum for the date, with rare dips below 52 °F under clear, calm conditions that current forecasts do not favor. Traders are therefore weighting the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins most heavily, reflecting consensus on typical late-summer marine influence tempered by modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Объем
$1,041Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 31, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 54–59 °F. Persistent onshore flow, a strengthening marine layer, and increasing low-level cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate west-southwest winds (10–20 mph) mix slightly warmer air downward. Historical climatology shows a 56.1 °F average minimum for the date, with rare dips below 52 °F under clear, calm conditions that current forecasts do not favor. Traders are therefore weighting the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins most heavily, reflecting consensus on typical late-summer marine influence tempered by modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,041Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 31, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 54–59 °F. Persistent onshore flow, a strengthening marine layer, and increasing low-level cloud cover are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate west-southwest winds (10–20 mph) mix slightly warmer air downward. Historical climatology shows a 56.1 °F average minimum for the date, with rare dips below 52 °F under clear, calm conditions that current forecasts do not favor. Traders are therefore weighting the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins most heavily, reflecting consensus on typical late-summer marine influence tempered by modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength overnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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