Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a low near 56–57 °F at San Francisco International Airport on August 30, aligning with the market’s top outcomes. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current limit radiational cooling, while light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture keep overnight temperatures clustered in the mid- to upper 50s. Historical climatology shows a 56 °F average low for the date, and current GFS/ECMWF spreads indicate only modest differences in cloud cover or wind that could tip readings a degree or two either way. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities on more extreme cooling or warming scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 30 августа?
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 37%
56-57°F 34%
58-59°F 30%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
47°F или ниже
2%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
30%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
37%
66°F или выше
14%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 37%
56-57°F 34%
58-59°F 30%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
47°F или ниже
$263 Объем
2%
48-49°F
$11 Объем
2%
50-51°F
$0 Объем
26%
52-53°F
$0 Объем
25%
54-55°F
$0 Объем
26%
56-57°F
$0 Объем
34%
58-59°F
$0 Объем
30%
60-61°F
$0 Объем
26%
62-63°F
$20 Объем
49%
64-65°F
$75 Объем
37%
66°F или выше
$10 Объем
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a low near 56–57 °F at San Francisco International Airport on August 30, aligning with the market’s top outcomes. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current limit radiational cooling, while light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture keep overnight temperatures clustered in the mid- to upper 50s. Historical climatology shows a 56 °F average low for the date, and current GFS/ECMWF spreads indicate only modest differences in cloud cover or wind that could tip readings a degree or two either way. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities on more extreme cooling or warming scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$379Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a low near 56–57 °F at San Francisco International Airport on August 30, aligning with the market’s top outcomes. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current limit radiational cooling, while light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture keep overnight temperatures clustered in the mid- to upper 50s. Historical climatology shows a 56 °F average low for the date, and current GFS/ECMWF spreads indicate only modest differences in cloud cover or wind that could tip readings a degree or two either way. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities on more extreme cooling or warming scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$379Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a low near 56–57 °F at San Francisco International Airport on August 30, aligning with the market’s top outcomes. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current limit radiational cooling, while light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture keep overnight temperatures clustered in the mid- to upper 50s. Historical climatology shows a 56 °F average low for the date, and current GFS/ECMWF spreads indicate only modest differences in cloud cover or wind that could tip readings a degree or two either way. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 56–57 °F and 58–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities on more extreme cooling or warming scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы