Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show the minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 most likely falling between 9–12°C, driven by moderate easterly flow, limited cloud cover overnight, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This positioning explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around those thresholds while assigning elevated probability to 6°C or below. Southerly advection of cooler polar air masses can produce sharper drops than current guidance, especially if models shift the timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical late-August climatology features frequent 5–8°C minima, underscoring the genuine uncertainty traders are pricing amid diverging model runs ahead of the final forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 30 августа?
13°C 61%
14°C 50%
6°C или ниже 48%
8°C 46%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
48%
7°C
42%
8°C
46%
9°C
43%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
31%
13°C
61%
14°C
50%
15°C
34%
16°C или выше
44%
13°C 61%
14°C 50%
6°C или ниже 48%
8°C 46%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
$0 Объем
48%
7°C
$0 Объем
42%
8°C
$0 Объем
46%
9°C
$0 Объем
43%
10°C
$0 Объем
26%
11°C
$0 Объем
25%
12°C
$0 Объем
31%
13°C
$15 Объем
61%
14°C
$15 Объем
50%
15°C
$15 Объем
34%
16°C или выше
$15 Объем
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show the minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 most likely falling between 9–12°C, driven by moderate easterly flow, limited cloud cover overnight, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This positioning explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around those thresholds while assigning elevated probability to 6°C or below. Southerly advection of cooler polar air masses can produce sharper drops than current guidance, especially if models shift the timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical late-August climatology features frequent 5–8°C minima, underscoring the genuine uncertainty traders are pricing amid diverging model runs ahead of the final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Объем
$60Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show the minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 most likely falling between 9–12°C, driven by moderate easterly flow, limited cloud cover overnight, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This positioning explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around those thresholds while assigning elevated probability to 6°C or below. Southerly advection of cooler polar air masses can produce sharper drops than current guidance, especially if models shift the timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical late-August climatology features frequent 5–8°C minima, underscoring the genuine uncertainty traders are pricing amid diverging model runs ahead of the final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$60Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show the minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 most likely falling between 9–12°C, driven by moderate easterly flow, limited cloud cover overnight, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This positioning explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around those thresholds while assigning elevated probability to 6°C or below. Southerly advection of cooler polar air masses can produce sharper drops than current guidance, especially if models shift the timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical late-August climatology features frequent 5–8°C minima, underscoring the genuine uncertainty traders are pricing amid diverging model runs ahead of the final forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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