**Trader consensus at 100% for a 28°C low on August 30 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming this as the day's minimum.** Early-morning readings from the HKO station and regional automatic weather stations showed temperatures declining from ~29.4°C overnight to 28.4–28.5°C around dawn before rising, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and a broad low-pressure trough suppressing further nocturnal cooling. This aligns with late-summer monsoon conditions and forecast guidance of 27–28°C lows. A realistic challenge would require post-verification adjustments to the official minimum or resolution criteria favoring a secondary station reading below 28°C, though current data make such revisions unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 30 августа?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$14,952 Объем
$14,952 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$14,952 Объем
$14,952 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 28°C low on August 30 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming this as the day's minimum.** Early-morning readings from the HKO station and regional automatic weather stations showed temperatures declining from ~29.4°C overnight to 28.4–28.5°C around dawn before rising, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and a broad low-pressure trough suppressing further nocturnal cooling. This aligns with late-summer monsoon conditions and forecast guidance of 27–28°C lows. A realistic challenge would require post-verification adjustments to the official minimum or resolution criteria favoring a secondary station reading below 28°C, though current data make such revisions unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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