Current NWS and private model consensus points to overnight lows in the mid-50s for Seattle on September 3, driving the market's tight clustering around 54-55°F at 36% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover from an approaching frontal system limits radiational cooling at the surface, while moderate southerly winds and proximity to Puget Sound maintain a mild marine influence that prevents sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions. Historical averages near 55°F and recent September patterns with limited cold-air advection reinforce this range, though any unexpected clearing overnight could allow brief cooling toward the 52-53°F bin. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сиэтле 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сиэтле 3 сентября?
54-55°F 54%
52-53°F 29%
56-57°F 27%
50-51°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
45°F или ниже
15%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
9%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
29%
54-55°F
32%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
9%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
15%
64°F или выше
13%
54-55°F 54%
52-53°F 29%
56-57°F 27%
50-51°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
45°F или ниже
$69 Объем
15%
46-47°F
$0 Объем
9%
48-49°F
$0 Объем
9%
50-51°F
$0 Объем
16%
52-53°F
$0 Объем
29%
54-55°F
$24 Объем
32%
56-57°F
$0 Объем
27%
58-59°F
$0 Объем
9%
60-61°F
$10 Объем
2%
62-63°F
$10 Объем
15%
64°F или выше
$10 Объем
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and private model consensus points to overnight lows in the mid-50s for Seattle on September 3, driving the market's tight clustering around 54-55°F at 36% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover from an approaching frontal system limits radiational cooling at the surface, while moderate southerly winds and proximity to Puget Sound maintain a mild marine influence that prevents sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions. Historical averages near 55°F and recent September patterns with limited cold-air advection reinforce this range, though any unexpected clearing overnight could allow brief cooling toward the 52-53°F bin. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Объем
$123Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and private model consensus points to overnight lows in the mid-50s for Seattle on September 3, driving the market's tight clustering around 54-55°F at 36% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover from an approaching frontal system limits radiational cooling at the surface, while moderate southerly winds and proximity to Puget Sound maintain a mild marine influence that prevents sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions. Historical averages near 55°F and recent September patterns with limited cold-air advection reinforce this range, though any unexpected clearing overnight could allow brief cooling toward the 52-53°F bin. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$123Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current NWS and private model consensus points to overnight lows in the mid-50s for Seattle on September 3, driving the market's tight clustering around 54-55°F at 36% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover from an approaching frontal system limits radiational cooling at the surface, while moderate southerly winds and proximity to Puget Sound maintain a mild marine influence that prevents sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions. Historical averages near 55°F and recent September patterns with limited cold-air advection reinforce this range, though any unexpected clearing overnight could allow brief cooling toward the 52-53°F bin. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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