**Persistent tropical moisture and afternoon convection are the main factors keeping the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 3 clustered around 31–33 °C in trader pricing.** Official and ensemble forecasts show partly cloudy skies with scattered to numerous thunderstorms developing after midday, typical of the Caribbean wet season under a moist trade-wind regime. These storms reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping the daily maximum near or slightly below the recent observed values of 30–32 °C. Model guidance diverges modestly on storm coverage and timing: stronger or earlier convection favors the 31 °C or 32 °C outcomes, while delayed or lighter activity supports a brief push to 33 °C or higher. With no significant changes in the large-scale pattern over the past 48 hours and resolution imminent, the closely matched probabilities reflect this narrow forecast spread rather than any abrupt shift in conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панаме 3 сентября?
32°C 38%
33°C или выше 32%
31°C 26%
30°C 6%
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
38%
33°C или выше
32%
32°C 38%
33°C или выше 32%
31°C 26%
30°C 6%
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
38%
33°C или выше
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent tropical moisture and afternoon convection are the main factors keeping the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 3 clustered around 31–33 °C in trader pricing.** Official and ensemble forecasts show partly cloudy skies with scattered to numerous thunderstorms developing after midday, typical of the Caribbean wet season under a moist trade-wind regime. These storms reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping the daily maximum near or slightly below the recent observed values of 30–32 °C. Model guidance diverges modestly on storm coverage and timing: stronger or earlier convection favors the 31 °C or 32 °C outcomes, while delayed or lighter activity supports a brief push to 33 °C or higher. With no significant changes in the large-scale pattern over the past 48 hours and resolution imminent, the closely matched probabilities reflect this narrow forecast spread rather than any abrupt shift in conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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