Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate Chengdu highs of 32–34°C on September 2 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, reflecting the basin’s typical late-summer radiative heating under weak steering flows and moderate humidity, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any minor frontal influence that could suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C or allow brief intensification; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 2 сентября?
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
33°C 27%
37°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
28°C or below
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
11%
33°C
27%
34°C
29%
35°C
28%
36°C
11%
37°C
19%
38°C or higher
19%
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
33°C 27%
37°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$0 Объем
4%
29°C
$0 Объем
7%
30°C
$0 Объем
4%
31°C
$5 Объем
15%
32°C
$15 Объем
11%
33°C
$0 Объем
27%
34°C
$0 Объем
29%
35°C
$14 Объем
28%
36°C
$8 Объем
11%
37°C
$40 Объем
19%
38°C or higher
$0 Объем
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate Chengdu highs of 32–34°C on September 2 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, reflecting the basin’s typical late-summer radiative heating under weak steering flows and moderate humidity, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any minor frontal influence that could suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C or allow brief intensification; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$82Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate Chengdu highs of 32–34°C on September 2 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, reflecting the basin’s typical late-summer radiative heating under weak steering flows and moderate humidity, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any minor frontal influence that could suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C or allow brief intensification; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$82Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate Chengdu highs of 32–34°C on September 2 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, reflecting the basin’s typical late-summer radiative heating under weak steering flows and moderate humidity, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any minor frontal influence that could suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C or allow brief intensification; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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