Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 31 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 31 августа?
30°C 31%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
12%
29°C
30%
30°C
31%
31°C
15%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 31%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$40 Объем
<1%
26°C
$91 Объем
2%
27°C
$100 Объем
5%
28°C
$96 Объем
12%
29°C
$181 Объем
30%
30°C
$174 Объем
31%
31°C
$50 Объем
15%
32°C
$44 Объем
9%
33°C
$25 Объем
4%
34°C
$0 Объем
4%
35°C or higher
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$801Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$801Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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