Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and local Israeli meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 2, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This consensus aligns with historical early-September averages near 29–31°C while noting slight positive anomalies from regional warmth. Trader emphasis on 33°C reflects minor upward revisions in afternoon observations or station-specific readings, with limited probability assigned to 34°C or higher given the absence of stronger synoptic forcing or heat advection. Updated model runs and real-time station data through the afternoon remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 2 сентября?
33°C 75%
32°C 25%
34°C 1.6%
31°C 1.3%
$27,164 Объем
$27,164 Объем
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
25%
33°C
75%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 75%
32°C 25%
34°C 1.6%
31°C 1.3%
$27,164 Объем
$27,164 Объем
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
25%
33°C
75%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and local Israeli meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 2, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This consensus aligns with historical early-September averages near 29–31°C while noting slight positive anomalies from regional warmth. Trader emphasis on 33°C reflects minor upward revisions in afternoon observations or station-specific readings, with limited probability assigned to 34°C or higher given the absence of stronger synoptic forcing or heat advection. Updated model runs and real-time station data through the afternoon remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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