Latest forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 38–40.5% for those outcomes. Early September rainy-season conditions—frequent afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity—limit solar heating and keep temperatures near the historical average high of 23–24°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor variations in model runs stem from differences in predicted cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and refined model outputs expected later on September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 3 сентября?
26°C 41%
25°C 38%
27°C или выше 15%
24°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
8%
25°C
38%
26°C
41%
27°C или выше
15%
26°C 41%
25°C 38%
27°C или выше 15%
24°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$5 Объем
<1%
18°C
$145 Объем
<1%
19°C
$145 Объем
<1%
20°C
$10 Объем
<1%
21°C
$20 Объем
<1%
22°C
$32 Объем
4%
23°C
$2 Объем
5%
24°C
$1 Объем
8%
25°C
$67 Объем
38%
26°C
$196 Объем
41%
27°C или выше
$146 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 38–40.5% for those outcomes. Early September rainy-season conditions—frequent afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity—limit solar heating and keep temperatures near the historical average high of 23–24°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor variations in model runs stem from differences in predicted cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and refined model outputs expected later on September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$762Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 38–40.5% for those outcomes. Early September rainy-season conditions—frequent afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity—limit solar heating and keep temperatures near the historical average high of 23–24°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor variations in model runs stem from differences in predicted cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and refined model outputs expected later on September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$762Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 38–40.5% for those outcomes. Early September rainy-season conditions—frequent afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity—limit solar heating and keep temperatures near the historical average high of 23–24°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor variations in model runs stem from differences in predicted cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and refined model outputs expected later on September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы