**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 3 highest temperature centers on 30–31°C, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 25–31°C under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers and brief sunny intervals.** Northwest winds of 4–5 (locally 6) associated with nearby tropical cyclone activity and the northeast monsoon are suppressing strong daytime heating while allowing limited warming during any clearer spells. Forecast models and recent observations show consistent highs near 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F), aligning with early-September climatology where daily maxima average around 31°C but are tempered by frequent cloud cover and showers. The 42.5% implied probability on 31°C and 29.5% on 30°C capture this narrow band, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the rain and wind limiting extreme peaks. Lower outcomes (29°C or below) receive modest support given the persistent moisture and moderate winds. Key near-term catalysts include the cyclone’s path and any updates to HKO or global model guidance on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which could shift the realized maximum within the 29–31°C window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 3 сентября?
31°C 43%
30°C 29%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
НОВОЕ
$27,982 Объем
НОВОЕ
$27,982 Объем
3 сент. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
29%
31°C
43%
32°C
16%
33°C or higher
3%
31°C 43%
30°C 29%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
НОВОЕ
$27,982 Объем
НОВОЕ
$27,982 Объем
3 сент. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$414 Объем
<1%
24°C
$288 Объем
<1%
25°C
$560 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,454 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1,540 Объем
<1%
28°C
$4,483 Объем
3%
29°C
$5,955 Объем
12%
30°C
$4,173 Объем
29%
31°C
$4,469 Объем
43%
32°C
$2,710 Объем
16%
33°C or higher
$1,936 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 3 highest temperature centers on 30–31°C, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 25–31°C under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers and brief sunny intervals.** Northwest winds of 4–5 (locally 6) associated with nearby tropical cyclone activity and the northeast monsoon are suppressing strong daytime heating while allowing limited warming during any clearer spells.
Forecast models and recent observations show consistent highs near 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F), aligning with early-September climatology where daily maxima average around 31°C but are tempered by frequent cloud cover and showers. The 42.5% implied probability on 31°C and 29.5% on 30°C capture this narrow band, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the rain and wind limiting extreme peaks. Lower outcomes (29°C or below) receive modest support given the persistent moisture and moderate winds.
Key near-term catalysts include the cyclone’s path and any updates to HKO or global model guidance on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which could shift the realized maximum within the 29–31°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$27,982Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 3 highest temperature centers on 30–31°C, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 25–31°C under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers and brief sunny intervals.** Northwest winds of 4–5 (locally 6) associated with nearby tropical cyclone activity and the northeast monsoon are suppressing strong daytime heating while allowing limited warming during any clearer spells.
Forecast models and recent observations show consistent highs near 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F), aligning with early-September climatology where daily maxima average around 31°C but are tempered by frequent cloud cover and showers. The 42.5% implied probability on 31°C and 29.5% on 30°C capture this narrow band, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the rain and wind limiting extreme peaks. Lower outcomes (29°C or below) receive modest support given the persistent moisture and moderate winds.
Key near-term catalysts include the cyclone’s path and any updates to HKO or global model guidance on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which could shift the realized maximum within the 29–31°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$27,982Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 3 highest temperature centers on 30–31°C, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 25–31°C under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers and brief sunny intervals.** Northwest winds of 4–5 (locally 6) associated with nearby tropical cyclone activity and the northeast monsoon are suppressing strong daytime heating while allowing limited warming during any clearer spells. Forecast models and recent observations show consistent highs near 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F), aligning with early-September climatology where daily maxima average around 31°C but are tempered by frequent cloud cover and showers. The 42.5% implied probability on 31°C and 29.5% on 30°C capture this narrow band, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the rain and wind limiting extreme peaks. Lower outcomes (29°C or below) receive modest support given the persistent moisture and moderate winds. Key near-term catalysts include the cyclone’s path and any updates to HKO or global model guidance on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which could shift the realized maximum within the 29–31°C window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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