Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 3 most likely between 32–34 °C, driven by persistent control from the subtropical high-pressure system over the region. This setup promotes subsidence warming, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating in the Sichuan Basin. With September marking the transition from peak summer, daytime maxima remain elevated relative to seasonal norms but below extreme heat thresholds. Model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in cloud cover and moisture advection from western mountains, where isolated showers could develop later on the 3rd. Official updates from CMA and refined ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and influence trader positioning around the closely matched 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 3 сентября?
34°C 37%
33°C 32%
37°C or higher 15%
32°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
27°C or below
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
9%
32°C
20%
33°C
21%
34°C
27%
35°C
12%
36°C
8%
37°C or higher
15%
34°C 37%
33°C 32%
37°C or higher 15%
32°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$10 Объем
2%
28°C
$137 Объем
<1%
29°C
$5 Объем
4%
30°C
$16 Объем
5%
31°C
$30 Объем
9%
32°C
$20 Объем
20%
33°C
$15 Объем
21%
34°C
$14 Объем
27%
35°C
$14 Объем
12%
36°C
$10 Объем
8%
37°C or higher
$5 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 3 most likely between 32–34 °C, driven by persistent control from the subtropical high-pressure system over the region. This setup promotes subsidence warming, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating in the Sichuan Basin. With September marking the transition from peak summer, daytime maxima remain elevated relative to seasonal norms but below extreme heat thresholds. Model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in cloud cover and moisture advection from western mountains, where isolated showers could develop later on the 3rd. Official updates from CMA and refined ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and influence trader positioning around the closely matched 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$275Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 3 most likely between 32–34 °C, driven by persistent control from the subtropical high-pressure system over the region. This setup promotes subsidence warming, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating in the Sichuan Basin. With September marking the transition from peak summer, daytime maxima remain elevated relative to seasonal norms but below extreme heat thresholds. Model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in cloud cover and moisture advection from western mountains, where isolated showers could develop later on the 3rd. Official updates from CMA and refined ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and influence trader positioning around the closely matched 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$275Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 3 most likely between 32–34 °C, driven by persistent control from the subtropical high-pressure system over the region. This setup promotes subsidence warming, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating in the Sichuan Basin. With September marking the transition from peak summer, daytime maxima remain elevated relative to seasonal norms but below extreme heat thresholds. Model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in cloud cover and moisture advection from western mountains, where isolated showers could develop later on the 3rd. Official updates from CMA and refined ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and influence trader positioning around the closely matched 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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