**Forecasts for Guangzhou on September 3, 2026, center on a maximum near 30–31°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered rain chances, producing the tight clustering of market odds around those values.** Official guidance and ensemble models show a northerly flow with moderate humidity and precipitation probabilities of 30–77% on the day, which limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation. Historical September 3 averages reach 32.8°C, but the current pattern—following early-month rainfall—favors slightly suppressed maxima, consistent with recent model runs projecting 30–32°C highs. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C because small differences in cloud timing or shower intensity can shift the peak by 1–2°C; northerly winds and dew points near 22–23°C further constrain warming. With outcomes in the 45–55% probability band, the market reflects genuine uncertainty in mesoscale details that will be resolved only by updated short-range guidance closer to the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 3 сентября?
30°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 20%
28°C 14%
25°C или ниже
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
9%
28°C
10%
29°C
20%
30°C
23%
31°C
22%
32°C
14%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C или выше
<1%
30°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 20%
28°C 14%
25°C или ниже
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
9%
28°C
10%
29°C
20%
30°C
23%
31°C
22%
32°C
14%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Guangzhou on September 3, 2026, center on a maximum near 30–31°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered rain chances, producing the tight clustering of market odds around those values.** Official guidance and ensemble models show a northerly flow with moderate humidity and precipitation probabilities of 30–77% on the day, which limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation. Historical September 3 averages reach 32.8°C, but the current pattern—following early-month rainfall—favors slightly suppressed maxima, consistent with recent model runs projecting 30–32°C highs. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C because small differences in cloud timing or shower intensity can shift the peak by 1–2°C; northerly winds and dew points near 22–23°C further constrain warming. With outcomes in the 45–55% probability band, the market reflects genuine uncertainty in mesoscale details that will be resolved only by updated short-range guidance closer to the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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