Recent forecasts from multiple models project a low near 23°C in Guangzhou on September 3, shaped by the remnants of Typhoon Saudel delivering persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a moist northwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs. This aligns with historical September averages around 25°C but reflects the current trough interaction moderating temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader balance between the 29°C+ and 19°C-or-below outcomes highlights model spread on exact steering and rainfall timing, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from local stations amid ongoing showers. Updated numerical guidance and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours could refine probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 3 сентября?
29°C или выше 93%
19°C или ниже 84%
24°C 28%
21°C 26%
19°C или ниже
84%
20°C
21%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C или выше
93%
29°C или выше 93%
19°C или ниже 84%
24°C 28%
21°C 26%
19°C или ниже
84%
20°C
21%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C или выше
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models project a low near 23°C in Guangzhou on September 3, shaped by the remnants of Typhoon Saudel delivering persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a moist northwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs. This aligns with historical September averages around 25°C but reflects the current trough interaction moderating temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader balance between the 29°C+ and 19°C-or-below outcomes highlights model spread on exact steering and rainfall timing, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from local stations amid ongoing showers. Updated numerical guidance and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours could refine probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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