Recent forecasts from multiple models show Shanghai's September 3 high likely settling near 29–31°C amid persistent northeast winds and widespread cloud cover that limits solar heating. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, tied to lingering moisture and a weak frontal boundary, are expected to further moderate peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation during afternoon hours. This aligns with early September climatology in the Yangtze River Delta, where the summer monsoon weakens and cooler maritime air increasingly influences the region, producing typical highs around 30°C. Market-implied odds favor 30°C or 31°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, though small shifts in rain timing or wind speed could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 3 сентября?
30°C 41%
31°C 37%
29°C 15%
32°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
15%
30°C
41%
31°C
37%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 41%
31°C 37%
29°C 15%
32°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$599 Объем
<1%
26°C
$290 Объем
1%
27°C
$84 Объем
1%
28°C
$51 Объем
6%
29°C
$105 Объем
15%
30°C
$251 Объем
41%
31°C
$226 Объем
37%
32°C
$244 Объем
6%
33°C
$78 Объем
1%
34°C
$14 Объем
1%
35°C or higher
$253 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Shanghai's September 3 high likely settling near 29–31°C amid persistent northeast winds and widespread cloud cover that limits solar heating. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, tied to lingering moisture and a weak frontal boundary, are expected to further moderate peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation during afternoon hours. This aligns with early September climatology in the Yangtze River Delta, where the summer monsoon weakens and cooler maritime air increasingly influences the region, producing typical highs around 30°C. Market-implied odds favor 30°C or 31°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, though small shifts in rain timing or wind speed could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$2,193Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Shanghai's September 3 high likely settling near 29–31°C amid persistent northeast winds and widespread cloud cover that limits solar heating. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, tied to lingering moisture and a weak frontal boundary, are expected to further moderate peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation during afternoon hours. This aligns with early September climatology in the Yangtze River Delta, where the summer monsoon weakens and cooler maritime air increasingly influences the region, producing typical highs around 30°C. Market-implied odds favor 30°C or 31°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, though small shifts in rain timing or wind speed could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,193Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show Shanghai's September 3 high likely settling near 29–31°C amid persistent northeast winds and widespread cloud cover that limits solar heating. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, tied to lingering moisture and a weak frontal boundary, are expected to further moderate peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation during afternoon hours. This aligns with early September climatology in the Yangtze River Delta, where the summer monsoon weakens and cooler maritime air increasingly influences the region, producing typical highs around 30°C. Market-implied odds favor 30°C or 31°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, though small shifts in rain timing or wind speed could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы