Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely range 23–25°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain transitioning to mostly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity near 85–90%, which limits radiative cooling. Northeast winds shifting northerly at 5–14 km/h and dew points around 23–24°C further support this range rather than deeper drops. Historical September baselines average closer to 20–22°C, but the current pattern of showers and overcast conditions has elevated trader-implied odds for 26°C (51%) and 25–27°C outcomes as consensus aligns with near-term model guidance. Updated runs ahead of the date could refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 3 сентября?
26°C 51%
27°C 32%
25°C 14%
28°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
14%
26°C
51%
27°C
32%
28°C
9%
29°C
8%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
27°C 32%
25°C 14%
28°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$73 Объем
1%
23°C
$297 Объем
3%
24°C
$114 Объем
7%
25°C
$189 Объем
14%
26°C
$57 Объем
51%
27°C
$23 Объем
32%
28°C
$23 Объем
9%
29°C
$5 Объем
8%
30°C
$5 Объем
6%
31°C
$23 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$100 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely range 23–25°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain transitioning to mostly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity near 85–90%, which limits radiative cooling. Northeast winds shifting northerly at 5–14 km/h and dew points around 23–24°C further support this range rather than deeper drops. Historical September baselines average closer to 20–22°C, but the current pattern of showers and overcast conditions has elevated trader-implied odds for 26°C (51%) and 25–27°C outcomes as consensus aligns with near-term model guidance. Updated runs ahead of the date could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$911Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely range 23–25°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain transitioning to mostly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity near 85–90%, which limits radiative cooling. Northeast winds shifting northerly at 5–14 km/h and dew points around 23–24°C further support this range rather than deeper drops. Historical September baselines average closer to 20–22°C, but the current pattern of showers and overcast conditions has elevated trader-implied odds for 26°C (51%) and 25–27°C outcomes as consensus aligns with near-term model guidance. Updated runs ahead of the date could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$911Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely range 23–25°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain transitioning to mostly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity near 85–90%, which limits radiative cooling. Northeast winds shifting northerly at 5–14 km/h and dew points around 23–24°C further support this range rather than deeper drops. Historical September baselines average closer to 20–22°C, but the current pattern of showers and overcast conditions has elevated trader-implied odds for 26°C (51%) and 25–27°C outcomes as consensus aligns with near-term model guidance. Updated runs ahead of the date could refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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