Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers are limiting nocturnal radiational cooling across the Yangtze River Delta on September 2. Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on overnight lows of 24–26°C, with the highest-resolution runs favoring values near 25°C under continued light rain and 85–90% relative humidity. These conditions explain the market’s strong consensus around 26°C (58%) and 27°C (27.5%), while the low probabilities assigned to 25°C or below reflect limited upside for further cooling absent a stronger northerly surge. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature bulletins expected overnight will be the next key inputs for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?
26°C 57%
27°C 43%
25°C 13%
23°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
57%
27°C
26%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 57%
27°C 43%
25°C 13%
23°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$211 Объем
<1%
23°C
$81 Объем
4%
24°C
$253 Объем
3%
25°C
$475 Объем
11%
26°C
$419 Объем
57%
27°C
$496 Объем
26%
28°C
$312 Объем
<1%
29°C
$231 Объем
<1%
30°C
$312 Объем
<1%
31°C
$196 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$366 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers are limiting nocturnal radiational cooling across the Yangtze River Delta on September 2. Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on overnight lows of 24–26°C, with the highest-resolution runs favoring values near 25°C under continued light rain and 85–90% relative humidity. These conditions explain the market’s strong consensus around 26°C (58%) and 27°C (27.5%), while the low probabilities assigned to 25°C or below reflect limited upside for further cooling absent a stronger northerly surge. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature bulletins expected overnight will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$3,352Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers are limiting nocturnal radiational cooling across the Yangtze River Delta on September 2. Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on overnight lows of 24–26°C, with the highest-resolution runs favoring values near 25°C under continued light rain and 85–90% relative humidity. These conditions explain the market’s strong consensus around 26°C (58%) and 27°C (27.5%), while the low probabilities assigned to 25°C or below reflect limited upside for further cooling absent a stronger northerly surge. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature bulletins expected overnight will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,352Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers are limiting nocturnal radiational cooling across the Yangtze River Delta on September 2. Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on overnight lows of 24–26°C, with the highest-resolution runs favoring values near 25°C under continued light rain and 85–90% relative humidity. These conditions explain the market’s strong consensus around 26°C (58%) and 27°C (27.5%), while the low probabilities assigned to 25°C or below reflect limited upside for further cooling absent a stronger northerly surge. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature bulletins expected overnight will be the next key inputs for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы