Forecast consensus from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models points to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 centered near 25–26°C, driven by high humidity near 80–90%, extensive cloud cover from ongoing showers, and light variable winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorms—following a yellow rainstorm warning on September 6—reduce the typical diurnal temperature drop compared to drier historical analogs averaging 24.8°C lows for the date. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and coverage, which can trap heat or allow brief clearer intervals, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 7 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 7 сентября?
30°C или выше 48%
23°C 47%
28°C 47%
22°C 43%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
43%
23°C
47%
24°C
23%
25°C
34%
26°C
36%
27°C
27%
28°C
47%
29°C
7%
30°C или выше
48%
30°C или выше 48%
23°C 47%
28°C 47%
22°C 43%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
21°C
$0 Объем
8%
22°C
$0 Объем
43%
23°C
$0 Объем
47%
24°C
$0 Объем
23%
25°C
$0 Объем
34%
26°C
$0 Объем
36%
27°C
$2 Объем
27%
28°C
$0 Объем
47%
29°C
$0 Объем
7%
30°C или выше
$0 Объем
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models points to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 centered near 25–26°C, driven by high humidity near 80–90%, extensive cloud cover from ongoing showers, and light variable winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorms—following a yellow rainstorm warning on September 6—reduce the typical diurnal temperature drop compared to drier historical analogs averaging 24.8°C lows for the date. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and coverage, which can trap heat or allow brief clearer intervals, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$2Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models points to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 centered near 25–26°C, driven by high humidity near 80–90%, extensive cloud cover from ongoing showers, and light variable winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorms—following a yellow rainstorm warning on September 6—reduce the typical diurnal temperature drop compared to drier historical analogs averaging 24.8°C lows for the date. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and coverage, which can trap heat or allow brief clearer intervals, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models points to a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 centered near 25–26°C, driven by high humidity near 80–90%, extensive cloud cover from ongoing showers, and light variable winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorms—following a yellow rainstorm warning on September 6—reduce the typical diurnal temperature drop compared to drier historical analogs averaging 24.8°C lows for the date. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and coverage, which can trap heat or allow brief clearer intervals, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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