Recent forecasts from multiple sources project Qingdao's September 7 overnight low near 19–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, placing the market near equilibrium between cooler and warmer bins. Primary drivers include the timing of strengthening northerly flow from the Yellow Sea region, which could enhance advection of cooler continental air and promote greater radiative cooling, versus lingering marine moderation that sustains higher minima. Model consensus on cloud cover and exact wind onset remains limited two days out, creating genuine uncertainty around the 15–25°C thresholds. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Циндао 7 сентября?
15°C или ниже 90%
25°C или выше 84%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
15°C или ниже
90%
16°C
49%
17°C
27%
18°C
37%
19°C
29%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C или выше
84%
15°C или ниже 90%
25°C или выше 84%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
15°C или ниже
90%
16°C
49%
17°C
27%
18°C
37%
19°C
29%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C или выше
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple sources project Qingdao's September 7 overnight low near 19–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, placing the market near equilibrium between cooler and warmer bins. Primary drivers include the timing of strengthening northerly flow from the Yellow Sea region, which could enhance advection of cooler continental air and promote greater radiative cooling, versus lingering marine moderation that sustains higher minima. Model consensus on cloud cover and exact wind onset remains limited two days out, creating genuine uncertainty around the 15–25°C thresholds. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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