Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models, including GFS and ECMWF, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Yellow Sea region with clear skies and light northeasterly to northerly winds of 3–8 km/h through September 6. These conditions favor typical early-September diurnal ranges at Qingdao’s coastal station, where radiative cooling overnight produces minimum temperatures near 21°C after daytime highs of 28–30°C. Coastal marine influence and low humidity limit extreme overnight drops or retained warmth, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind backing could shift the observed low by 1–2°C. China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns with this consensus ahead of final updates on September 5–6. Trader odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band around the middle outcomes despite the split between tail probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Циндао 6 сентября?
16°C или ниже 100%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
16°C или ниже
100%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C или выше
47%
16°C или ниже 100%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
16°C или ниже
100%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C или выше
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models, including GFS and ECMWF, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Yellow Sea region with clear skies and light northeasterly to northerly winds of 3–8 km/h through September 6. These conditions favor typical early-September diurnal ranges at Qingdao’s coastal station, where radiative cooling overnight produces minimum temperatures near 21°C after daytime highs of 28–30°C. Coastal marine influence and low humidity limit extreme overnight drops or retained warmth, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind backing could shift the observed low by 1–2°C. China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns with this consensus ahead of final updates on September 5–6. Trader odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band around the middle outcomes despite the split between tail probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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